Voices » Michael Watkins » How to Think Strategically
5:22 PM Friday April 20, 2007
Are great strategic thinkers born or made? The answer turns out to be "yes." Yes, individuals sit somewhere on a spectrum of innate talent and yes, you can develop that talent.
The implication for organizations is that they must find ways to identify and cultivate future leaders with the capacity to think strategically. The implication for the individual leader is that it is pointless to worry about nature versus nurture. Both matter, but there isn't much you can do at this point on the nature side. You should focus on nurturing the talent you have.
Approaches to develop your strategic thinking ability include:
Immersion. Total immersion is the best way to learn a new language. It's the best way to figure out complex business environments, too. Immersion is important because people need significant "soak time" in a milieu in order to build powerful mental models. Note to talent development professionals: This insight also highlights the dangers of moving people too rapidly from business to business or job to job, because there isn't time to master the core dynamics of each new situation.
Apprenticeships. As with most arts, one of the best ways to learn to think strategically is to work closely with masters in apprenticeship-like relationships. These provide low-risk environments in which novices can observe and learn from the work of masters and so absorb their ways of thinking.
Simulations. Business simulations are a great tool for developing intuition about interactions among the variables that drive organizational performance. They provide a "manageably complex" environment within which managers can safely experiment and gain insight into cause-effect relationships. Unlike the real world, you also can "wind things back" and try again if they don't work the first time. My favorite example is the Executive Challenge simulation developed by Enspire Learning.
Game-theory training. Game theory is the study of "games" involving intelligent actors with conflicting interests who can make moves and countermoves that yield specific potential payoffs. It's easy to be put off by game theory because the detail involves lots of mathematics which can't be applied in many real-world situations. But they're great ways to imagine situations and how you might behave in them. One good reference for this is Thinking Strategically by Avinash Dixit and Barry Nalebuff.
Case-based education. You can accelerate the development of your strategic thinking by exposing yourself to a diverse range of realistic "cases" and letting yourself reflect on the experiences so you can absorb the lessons. Research suggests that this sort of exposure to distillations of reality is particularly powerful when it involves comparisons of cases that are similar but involve a few key distinctions that drive significant differences in outcomes.
Cognitive reshaping. This literally means doing mental exercises that create new habits of mind. One example is the "go to the balcony" exercise proposed by William Ury in his negotiation book Getting Past No. Ury advises negotiators to discipline themselves, regardless of how tense and difficult the proceedings, to periodically take a step back and "go to the balcony" in order to get perspective on what is happening and why, and adjust strategies accordingly. It's a great way to develop your ability to move across levels of abstraction. Another example is the architect's exercise, in which any time you enter a new home or office space, you take the time to think about how you would change the space to make it a more attractive place in which to live or work. This exercise is particularly helpful in developing visioning ability.
What suggestions do you have for developing the ability to think strategically?
HARVARD BUSINESS ONLINE RECOMMENDS:
Enterprise Architecture as Strategy: Creating a Foundation for Business Execution (Hardcover)
The First 90 Days in Government: Critical Success Strategies for New Public Managers at All Levels (Hardcover)
Closing the Strategy-to-Performance Gap: Seven Steps to Better Execution: Featuring Michael C. Mankins (CD-ROM)
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Michael Watkins is co-founder of Genesis Advisers, an executive on-boarding and transition acceleration company. He is the author of The First 90 Days: Critical Success Strategies for New Leaders at All Levels and developer of the Leadership Transitions e-learning program. His work on government includes The First 90 Days in Government, the Leadership Transitions in Government e-learning system, and Predictable Surprises: The Disasters You Should Have Seen Coming and How to Avoid Them.
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Comments
Does it matter that Jeff Skilling was a Harvard alumni ? Perhaps the discussion of leadership and management should necessarily include an examination of one's inner soul. One of my earliest management instructors asked this question. Are you concerned and genuinely interested in the well being of people ? If not then leave now. Surprisingly half the students did not show up for the next class. Of course the debate is much more complex.
Can US corporations compete with their Japanese counterparts while shouldering enormous healthcare and pension costs ? Also,
as technological advances lowers the demand for general labor how can society provide meaningful economic activity for the labor class ? A Darwinian approach to these issues is unconscionable. Letting the issue fall to the wayside sets the conditions for future disasters. It seems this is the road ahead.
These are not questions for small or struggling businesses whose main focus is survival. Yet for mature industries to ignore these issues will in part accelerate their demise.
- Posted by ROBERT YEE
April 25, 2007 9:39 AM
I once had a discussion with a room full of armed forces personnel. One question on the table was "How do we get our corporals to think strategically?" My first question was: Do you actually want them to? And then: Do your actions demonstrate that? There were a multitude of answers to those two questions.
Training & apprenticeships are good. Strategic thinking begins by looking at the impact of your activities outside your immediate task focus. "That's not my job" or "I'm far too busy to think about what I'm doing" are the enemy of strategic thought. First line managers identify & nuture early attempts at strategic thinking among their staff (and those early attempts will be all over the place) then that is an important first step. A significant minority of managers do not do that however - and those embryonic strategic thinkers are lost.
- Posted by Matt Moore
May 1, 2007 1:55 AM
I spent a day with a group of managers in the UK yesterday in a Strategic thinking workshop. The biggest barriers to thinking strategically that I observed were: 1) The office is the most unlikely place for strategic thinking to take place, yet many managers feel uncomfortable or guilty about taking time away from the office to think; 2) Making time time to think is really difficult in the relentless delivery focused, measurement obsessed and inward looking business culture of many large corporates; 3) Throughout formal education and early careers many managers have been encouraged to think analytically and have 'suppressed' their natural creativity and in extreme cases where they have demonstrated creative thinking have been considered 'wacky' or maverick. People do what they get 'rewarded' for. Leadership (not management) is required to develop a strategic thinking culture at all levels of an organisation.
- Posted by Margaret Burnside
May 3, 2007 9:08 AM
I loved Robert Yee's anecdote about one of his first management instructors! To do something like that with credibility, the instructor must have some actual business experience. But that's another story and I digress.
The challenge with the training people to think strategically is not in the training, but in getting anyone to admit he or she needs the training. Years ago, I worked on technology strategy in the company of many top notch engineers. I once told the best among them, "No one questions your right to design a piece of equipment because you have 20 odd-years of training and degrees to back you up. Yes, people without formal training have been brilliant inventors, but they are few and far between. However, they have no qualms about challenging me, despite my track record. Why? I think it is because there have been many more brilliant strategists who have never had any formal training. And people, being human, say, 'Look at Bill Gates? Who taught him strategy? Didn't he drop out of Harvard's undergraduate program?'" Moreover, the blame for bad strategy can be deflected far more easily than blame for a bad product design.
So the incentive to learn is weak, both ex ante and ex post. What is needed is a wee bit of humility!
- Posted by Amit Mukherjee
May 14, 2007 11:17 AM
As the financial turmoil continues, I commend HBS for the introspection concerning their curricula and what they may have done (or could have done but did not) to shape the values of some of the alumni who played a role in getting us into this mess (W being the most prominent one).
Two classmates from my own HBS MBA class served federal prison terms for financial fraud of some type, and they were smooth and glib players with the skill to generate trust in others.
Is there a role in strategy formulation to address the core values on which an ethical strategy is based? In the executive programs on the topic I team at UCLA, this topic always arouses great controversy. Those whose comfort zone is tested by the discussion label it "too touchy feeley", those who understand the need for our leaders to be ethical too love the discussion.
Terry Schmidt, MBA 71
- Posted by Terry Schmidt
April 19, 2009 2:52 PM
Strategic thinking has two components: opening up the range of decision options, and selecting the best decision by considering the full impact of the decision on all parties.
There are lots of possible techniques to expand the range of considered options. Time pressure to make the decision is usually high, and there will be one or more advocates for an immediate decision in a favored direction. Time is one variable, though, and there are probably many assumptions about boundary conditions that should be challenged. Try to document as many of the core assumptions as you can, and see what happens when you relax each one. Often, one core assumption can be altered to yield a valuable new option - a new channel, a new source of investment funds, a different pricing model, etc.
The other technique I use is to wear different hats and consider the impact of the decision from the perspectives of at least three directions: my own organization (what direction am I headed?), the most directly impacted constituent (What is my response? What happens after that?), and an uninterested observer, say a potential investor in some part of the industry value chain (Where is value growing?). These three perspectives can be expanded with the views of other constituents - a line employee, a regulator, a supplier, a channel partner, a process technology innovator - to think about the impact of the possible decisions and select the best choice.
In addition to quantifitative game theory, I recommend training in empathy and role playing to think about the impact of possible decisions on others and their possible responses to your decision.
- Posted by Jose Tormo
May 18, 2009 10:26 AM