Voices » Scott Anthony » Innovation Lessons From Lisa's Rock
10:00 AM Tuesday August 12, 2008
Innovation inspiration can come from outside the business world. Today's source of wisdom: The Simpsons. Today's lesson: Be wary of peddlers offering skin-deep fixes for deeply rooted innovation issues.
Companies looking to boost their abilities to innovate routinely turn to companies that seem to have solved the innovation equation for inspiration. They observe elements of the company's environment (free food! no doors! online jam sessions!). They seek to mimic those environmental elements to get similar results.
The problem is that a "culture of innovation" involves much more than these superficial elements. In fact, my colleague Steve Wunker is fond of saying that culture is a lagging, not a leading indicator. Changing culture requires changing activities. Changing superficial stuff without changing the real stuff doesn't accomplish much.
If you have trouble remembering this, think back to the episode of The Simpsons when, after a random bear sighting, the town of Springfield invests heavily to guard against future "attacks." The town thinks the heavy investment pays off, because bear sightings drop by 100 percent.
One of Springfield's residents is notably unimpressed. With thanks from The Simpsons Archive, here's Lisa Simpson's conversation with her father Homer.
Homer: Not a bear in sight. The Bear Patrol must be working like a charm.
Lisa: That's specious reasoning, Dad.Homer: Thank you, dear.
Lisa: By your logic I could claim that this rock keeps tigers away.
Homer: Oh, how does it work?
Lisa: It doesn't work.
Homer: Uh-huh.
Lisa: It's just a stupid rock.
Homer: Uh-huh.
Lisa: But I don't see any tigers around, do you?
[Homer thinks of this, then pulls out some money]
Homer: Lisa, I want to buy your rock.
It's a classic example of mixing up correlation and causation. The rock correlates with a lack of tigers--just like Google's free food correlates with a perception that Google is innovative--but it doesn't necessarily cause tigers to stay away.
Whenever someone tries to peddle you an innovation rock, ask, "Why exactly would that work?" and "What other things have to be in place for the rock to function?" If the rock peddler can't answer those questions, respectfully pass.
Out of curiosity, anyone else draw innovation insights from strange places?
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Scott D. Anthony is the president of Innosight, an innovation consulting and investing company with offices in Massachusetts, Singapore, and India. He has consulted to Fortune 500 and start-up companies in a wide range of industries. During 2005–2006 he spearheaded a yearlong project to help the newspaper industry grapple with industry transformation (Newspaper Next).
Anthony is the lead author on The Innovator’s Guide to Growth: Putting Disruptive Innovation to Work (Harvard Business School Press, 2008). He previously coauthored (with Harvard professor Clayton Christensen) Seeing What’s Next: Using the Theories of Innovation to Predict Industry Change (Harvard Business School Press, 2004).
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Comments
I find that this sequence of dialog comes up for me in discussions a wide variety of topics as it so cleanly illustrates the causation/correlation problem.
On a side note, I believe that Lisa says "That's specious reasoning", which makes a lot more sense than spacious reasoning. Looks like the original transcribers in the archive got it wrong.
- Posted by Elias Holman
August 14, 2008 1:01 PM
great example. what people seem to miss is that, if you want to see if some idea will succeed, you have to try to find instances where it failed. if you think free food equals innovation, you have to see if there were companies that provided free food and failed. if you're considering a rollup strategy, you need to look not only at the success stories but also at the rollups that had problems. otherwise, you're acting like someone who interviews winners at the roulette table and assumes that following their strategies will ensure that you win, too.
- Posted by paul carroll
August 14, 2008 5:52 PM
Thanks, Elias, for the catch. We've fixed the typo (which orginates on the source site, as you point out).
- Posted by Eds.
August 16, 2008 1:00 AM
I'm not a cognitive scientist, but I think it's safe to say that this is a classic case of confirmation bias. It's so easy to fall into this trap!
You come up with a theory, and all probing questions seek answers that reinforce it. Nobody asks the question to debunk it. Devil's advocates can be very annoying during meetings, but they serve a good purpose.
K
- Posted by Kaamil
October 10, 2008 11:01 AM